NEC vs UPDF: Hosts look to extend strong home form in league clash

NEC face UPDF on 3 November at 13:00 GMT, with both sides aiming to strengthen their position in the league during a fixture that brings together NEC’s impressive home record and UPDF’s mixed away form.

NEC have won six, drawn two and lost once at home this season. UPDF, meanwhile, have recorded two wins, two draws and four defeats on their travels. Those figures give NEC the statistical advantage before kick-off, although UPDF’s recent improvement means the visitors should not be underestimated.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

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  • Assists: (NEC) — 0 assists, (UPDF) — 0 assists.
  • Goalkeepers saves: (NEC) — 0, (UPDF) — 0
  • Tackles: (NEC) — 0, (UPDF) — 0.
  • Most encounters won: (NEC) — 0, (UPDF) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

  1. (0)
  2. (0)
  3. (0)
  4. (0)
  5. (0)

Team statistics:

The match will be decided by NEC’s ability to turn home control into goals and UPDF’s capacity to stay organised away from home. NEC have failed to score in five matches this season, while UPDF have kept three clean sheets. That contrast could be central to the outcome at the final whistle.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

  • NEC — WWDWD
  • UPDF — DLDWW

NEC’s recent form is WWDWD. They have avoided defeat in each of their last five matches, taking two wins and three draws during that run. The sequence suggests a side that has become difficult to beat, but the number of draws also shows that NEC have not always been able to turn promising performances into maximum points.

According to home statistics this season, NEC scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 10.53% 60.00%
16-30 10.53% 20.00%
31-45 26.32% 20.00%
46-60 21.05%
61-75 15.79%
76-90 10.53%
91-105 5.26%

UPDF has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 40.00% 16.67%
16-30 20.00% 16.67%
31-45 20.00% 16.67%
46-60 20.00% 50.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams Games Win Draws Losses
H A H A H A
NEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
UPDF 0 0 0 0 0 0

Probabilities before the match:

NEC UPDF
70.3% Winning the game 70.3%
75% Attack potential 75%
63% Potential in defense 63%
75% Strength against each other 75%
67% Goal Potential 67%

Summary: the probability of UPDF winning – 0, draw – 50%, loss – 50%. Thus NEC, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:NEC, is likely to score -3.5 goals, UPDF is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win Draw Away win
0 0 0

Save the date

The match between the teams NEC and UPDF will take place on November 03 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium MTN Omondi Stadium.

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